Crown Green HandicapFairPlay Bowls
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Crown Green Handicap

Alan Welch

Team: Albany BDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

730

Current Handicap

11
Honours
Season:

74

Matches Played

35

Wins

39

Losses

47%

Win Rate

9.6

Avg Win Margin

8.8

Avg Loss Margin

21-16

Home Record

14-23

Away Record

63%

Handicap Confidence

Moderately Reliable
31 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/14/2026

A solid recent sample: 31 of 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The handicap is settling and now moves mainly with form.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player8/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 74 matches

+11 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

15 Jun21 Jun6 May15 Jul12 May7 Jul1 May22 Jun14 Aug-14916

Gives 11 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current11
Win Percentage(40%)
52%
score+0.03→contribution+0.01
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
9.8
score+0.29→contribution+0.07
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.3
score+0.12→contribution+0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
55%
score+0.10→contribution+0.01
Opponent Strength(10%)
667
score-0.38→contribution-0.04
Weighted Score+0.076
Sample Size Confidence
63%(31/39 matches)
Rating1038 → shrunk 1024→ adjusted 724
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)738
Recency Blend40% (31 recent matches)
Final Rating730
Handicap
11

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

35W39L74 matches·47.3% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Albany B2016–2026League 374353947.3%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/14/2026Ronald ParryA7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 3
8/7/2026John GomersallH21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 3
7/31/2026Derek MacdonaldA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
7/27/2026Andy PritchardH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
7/24/2026Keith BennettH21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
7/17/2026Karl RobinsonA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
7/10/2026Dorothy RowlandsH21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
7/6/2026Barry CalisterA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 3
7/3/2026Alistair GreenA21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
6/26/2026Roy CookeA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
6/22/2026Harry MillingtonH21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
6/19/2026Eddy CarvellA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
6/15/2026Steve HowlandH21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 3
6/8/2026John ShawH21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 3
6/5/2026Angela HoldenA21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
5/29/2026Dave HoldenH21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 3
5/22/2026Ray FarrellA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
5/15/2026Lorna FosterA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
5/8/2026Philip CurrieA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
5/1/2026Dave EdwardsH21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
4/24/2026Paul McdonnellA7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 3
4/20/2026Kevin OwensH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
8/22/2025Stephen WheeldonH7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 3
7/25/2025Philip TaylorH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
7/21/2025Karl RobinsonA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 3
7/18/2025Val ArnoldH21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
7/11/2025Nick KavanaghA6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
7/7/2025Leslie SilcockH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
6/20/2025vs PoultonH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
6/9/2025Rene KearneyA21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 3
5/23/2025Karl RobinsonH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
6/23/2023vs Pensby BH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
6/9/2023Nick WoodwardA6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
5/26/2023stephen HoltA5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 3
5/22/2023Brian ChellamH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
5/19/2023Kath CucchiA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
5/12/2023Josep TaylorA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
5/5/2023Pauline HainesH10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
4/28/2023Bill ClaytonA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
4/21/2023Linda BiggsH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
8/26/2022vs PensbyA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
8/12/2022Christian KearneyA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
8/5/2022Iain HutchinsonH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
7/29/2022Deborah SilcockA21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 3
7/22/2022Howard FernH21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2022Rodney WatkinsA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
7/8/2022Phil LeechH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
7/1/2022Philip CurrieH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
6/24/2022Michelle CaffinH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
6/6/2022Neil HenningH20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 3
5/30/2022vs PensbyH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
5/23/2022Geoff MillichipA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
5/20/2022Phil GordonH5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 3
5/13/2022Kieron FoulkesA21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
5/6/2022Lynne TofieldH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
4/29/2022Mike WalshA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
8/20/2021Andrew ParnellA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
8/13/2021Paul DraperA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
8/6/2021Phil SpencerH7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 3
7/30/2021Mike PillingH21-3WIN+18LeagueLeague 3
7/23/2021Joan LawrenceA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
6/28/2021Ian HamiltonH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
6/25/2021Derek CarrollA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
6/21/2021vs PoultonH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
6/18/2021Margie VickersA6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
5/31/2019Joyce GallowayA21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
5/24/2019Dave EastH21-4WIN+17LeagueLeague 3
8/3/2018Graham RobinsonA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
7/27/2018Les RichardsH8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
7/6/2018# Stephen HoltH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
7/2/2018Don FavagerA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
6/29/2018Joe RiceH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
6/15/2018Eric JenkinsA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
6/13/2016Arthur JonesA21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl4 games · 0W
20231 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundSteven PrestonPensby12-21LOSSLOST
20221 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundStephen GilfoyleHeswall RBL8-21LOSSLOST
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundJean HughesHoylake Central & Melrose B4-21LOSSLOST
20151 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundDavid HollowayPoulton17-21LOSSLOST
Cartwright Cup2 games · 1W
20182 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundJan HulicanManor Road B16-21LOSSWON
Round of 16 RoundNick Woodward *Port Sunlight Village & Works21-17WINLOST
Graham White Cup1 games · 1W
20231 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundEthel (etty) JonesTixall B21-8WINLOST

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

5

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

6

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LWLLW
Last 1040% win rate— steady
LWLLWLWLWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Karl Robinson0330%7/17/2026
Philip Currie0220%5/8/2026
Poulton11250%6/20/2025
Pensby0220%8/26/2022
Ronald Parry0110%8/14/2026
John Gomersall101100%8/7/2026
Derek Macdonald0110%7/31/2026
Andy Pritchard0110%7/27/2026
Keith Bennett101100%7/24/2026
Dorothy Rowlands101100%7/10/2026
Biggest Win
Mike Pilling (+18)7/30/2021
Heaviest Defeat
stephen Holt (-16)5/26/2023
Nemesis
Karl Robinson0-3 H2H
Best Season
202655% · 22 matches
Worst Season
202238% · 16 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
46% → 49%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
71365 known · 9 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-233% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
32-3052% win rate
League 347.3%
35W·39L·74 played

Debut

Jun 13, 2016

Latest

Aug 14, 2026

Seasons Active

8 (10.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

9.3 (74 total)

Seasons

20162018201920212022202320252026